Verified Trading Data ยท Deep Dive
Higher confidence correlates with better win rate
Key Insight: Trades with 60-90% confidence have 87-92% win rate. Current threshold: --. Optimal range appears to be 60-90% based on win rate data.
| Time | Action | Signal | Confidence | BTC ฮ% | Result | Outcome | P&L | Vol 1h |
|---|
Note: Most trades occurred in DEAD regime (<0.5% 1hr vol). Need more data across volatility levels to draw conclusions.
Finding: 82% skip rate is working well. FLAT_MARKET skips average only 0.04% movement (correct decisions). Only 8 significant moves missed out of 399 skips.